As debt balloons and central banks diversify away from the U.S. dollar, gold is reclaiming its place as the world’s ultimate hedge. In 2025, the question is not about growth but about protection. This is why gold still matters in 2025, and why it anchors our Monetary Hedging (Gold) thesis.
Central Banks and Reserve Shifts
China, Russia, and emerging markets continue to add gold to their reserves. This quiet diversification signals waning confidence in the dollar and aligns with long-term de-dollarisation trends. It also reinforces our Scenario Outlook (2025–2026), where gold plays a central role in managing systemic risk.
Gold as Investor Insurance
For investors, gold functions less as a growth asset and more as an insurance policy. It holds value when fiat money stumbles and when inflation erodes real returns. From miners such as Zijin and Barrick to ETFs like GDX, there are multiple ways to gain exposure. The allocation decision is about balance: too little leaves portfolios vulnerable, while too much can weigh on long-term returns.
Strategic Role in a Multipolar World
In a fragmented, multipolar world, commodities like gold are more than industrial inputs. They are strategic assets and financial weapons. This intersects with our Critical Resources & Commodity Leverage thesis, showing how resource control becomes leverage in global competition.
Conclusion
Gold remains the ultimate hedge because it is outside the fiat system, beyond the reach of central banks, and trusted across cultures and centuries. In 2025, as debt, geopolitics, and inflation collide, gold continues to matter—for governments, for markets, and for investors.
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